Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Dull night on the Potomac

Everything went how it was widley expected. McCain and Obama win all three primaries by landslides.

Monday, February 11, 2008

Potomac Primary Predictions

DC Dems:
Barack Obama: 75%
Hillary Clinton: 24%
Other: 1%

DC GOP:
Mike Huckabee: 45%
John McCain: 35%
Ron Paul: 18%
Other: 2%

Maryland Dem:
Barack Obama: 52%
Hillary Clinton: 45%
Other: 3%

Maryland GOP:
John McCain: 55%
Mike Huckabee: 38%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 2%

Virginia Dem:
Barack Obama: 50%
Hillary Clinton: 48%
Other: 2%

Virginia GOP:
John McCain: 60%
Mike Huckabee: 33%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 2%

2/9 & 2/10 Grades

Barack Obama: A: Sweped the primaries and caucuses this weekend and has proven he has a shot to win the nomination.

Mike Huckabee: B+: Has shown that many in the GOP are not readdy to accept McCain yet.

John McCain: C: Loss two out of three states. So what? He's still probably our next President.

Ron Paul: D+: Decent showing in Washington. Other than that nothing.

Hillary Clinton: D: Still the favorite to win the nomination, but it is far from 100%.

Saturday, February 9, 2008

2/9 and 2/10 Perdictions

Kansas GOP:

Mike Huckabee: 48%
John McCain: 45%
Ron PAul: 5%
Other: 2%

Louisiana Dem:
Barack Obama: 52%
Hillary Clinton: 46%
Other: 2%

Louisiana GOP:
Mike Huckabee: 46%
John McCain: 43%
Ron Paul: 9%
Other: 2%

Nebraska Dem:
Barack Obama: 60%
Hillary Clinton: 38%
Other: 2%

Washington Dem:
Barack Obama: 56%
Hillary Clinton: 42%
Other: 2%

Washington GOP:
John McCain: 48%
Mike Huckabee: 35%
Ron Paul: 15%
Other: 2%

US Virgin Islands Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 55%
Barack Obama: 44%
Other: 1%

Maine Dem:
Barack Obama: 52%
Hillary Clinton: 47%
Other: 1%

Thursday, February 7, 2008

Obama for President

With the Washington caucuses coming up on Saturday and the Democratic nomination still up for grabs, I think it is finnaly time to declare my support for someone. I have held off until now since at the begining of the race I twice supported candidates without careful enough thought (Even Bayh and Bill Richardson). I love experience (I may still vote McCain in the General) and while Clinton has the edge in that catagorie, and I think Clinton would probably be a better President at least at the begining than Obama, for the sake of party unity I must chose Obama. I don't care that conservatives, or even many independents don't like Clinton what scares me is the hatred in which many democratic voters feel for Clinton, and if we are divided we would be handing the white house over to the Republicans. Ifeel the stakes are too big to do that. Clinton and Obama are similar enough on the issues, that it is a wash. So who to vote for goes down to experience (favored Clinton) and electability (favored Obama). At this point Obama's electability outweighs Clinton's experience.

Obama 08

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Super Tuesday Grades

John McCain: A+: has all but won the GOP nomination, and will probably be our next President, short of some unforseen happenings, (which is still quite possible).

Hillary Clinton: A-: Won a solid victory and has the inside track for the nomination, but she did not put Obama away.

Mike Huckabee: B: Won five States when he was only expected to win Arkansas.

Barack Obama: C+: Survived, but lop sided losses in NJ NY and CA makes him a long shot.

Mitt Romney: C-: Should drop out.

Ron Paul: D: Tuesday was his best chance to win a state, and e didnt even come close.

Sunday, February 3, 2008

Super Tuesday Predictions

Alabama Dem:
Barack Obama: 51%
Hillary Clinton: 48%
Other: 1%

Alabama GOP:
John McCain: 40%
Mike Huckabee: 31%
Mitt Romney: 24%
Ron Paul: 4%
Other: 1%

Alaska Dem:
Barack Obama: 50%
Hillary Clinton: 45%
Mike Gravel: 3%
Other: 2%

Alaska GOP:
John McCain: 51%
Mitt Romney: 33%
Ron Paul: 10%
Mike Huckabee: 4%
Other: 1%

American Somoa Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 54%
Barack Obama: 45%
Other: 1%

Arizona Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 50%
Barack Obama: 48%
Other: 2%

Arizona GOP:
John McCain: 52%
Mitt Romney: 29%
Mike Huckabee: 10%
Ron Paul: 6%
Other: 3%

Arkansas Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 52%
Barack Obama: 46%
Other: 2%

Arkansas GOP:
Mike Huckabee: 40%
John McCain: 32%
Mitt Romney: 20%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 3%

California Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 48%
Barack Obama: 44%
Other: 8%

California GOP:
John McCain: 40%
Mitt Romney: 36%
Mike Huckabee: 10%
Ron Paul: 6%
Other: 8%

Colorado Dem:
Barack Obama: 48%
Hillary Clinton: 47%
Other: 5%

Colorado GOP:
Mitt Romney: 38%
John McCain: 36%
Mike Huckabee: 20%
Ron Paul: 4%
Other: 1%

Connecticut Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 50%
Barack Obama: 40%
Other: 10%

Conneticut GOP:
John McCain: 45%
Mitt Romney: 40%
Mike Huckabee: 8%
Ron Paul: 6%
Other: 1%

Delaware Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 46%
Barack Obama: 42%
Other: 12%

Delaware GOP:
John McCain: 48%
Mitt Romney 36%
Mike Huckabee: 10%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 1%

Georgia Dem:
Barack Obama: 55%
Hillary Clinton: 40%
Other: 5%

Georgia GOP:
Mike Huckabee: 32%
John McCain: 31%
Mitt Romney: 28%
Ron Paul: 8%
Other: 1%

Idaho Dem:
Barack Obama: 55%
Hillary Clinton: 43%
Other: 2%

Illinois Dem:
Barack Obama: 58%
Hillary Clinton: 40%
Other: 2%

Illinois GOP:
John McCain: 42%
Mitt Romney: 35%
Mike Huckabee: 15%
Ron Paul: 7%
Other: 1%

Kansas Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 52%
Barack Obama: 45%
Other: 3%

Massachusetts Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 52%
Barack Obama: 46%
Other: 2%

Massachusetts GOP
Mitt Romney: 55%
John McCain: 36%
Mike Huckabee: 4%
Ron Paul: 4%
Other: 1%

Minnesota Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 50%
Barack Obama: 48%
Other: 2%

Minnesota GOP:
John McCain: 48%
Mike Huckabee: 25%
Mitt Romney: 20%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 2%

Missouri Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 50%
Barack Obama: 46%
Other: 4%

Missouri GOP:
John McCain: 40%
Mike Huckabee: 28%
Mitt Romney: 22%
Ron Paul: 7%
Other: 3%

Montana GOP:
John McCain: 40%
Mitt Romney: 35%
Mike Huckabee: 15%
Ron Paul: 8%
Other: 2%

New Jersey Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 52%
Barack Obama: 47%
Other: 1%

New Jersey GOP:
John McCain: 48%
Mitt Romney: 37%
Mike Huckabee: 7%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 3%

New Mexico Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 50%
Barack Obama: 40%
Other: 10%

New York Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 55%
Barack Obama: 44%
Other: 1%

New York GOP:
John McCain: 50%
Mitt Romney: 35%
Mike Huckabee: 8%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 2%

North Dakota Dem:
Barack Obama: 53%
Hillary Clinton: 45%
Other: 2%

North Dakota GOP:
John McCain: 45%
Mitt Romney: 35%
Mike Huckabee: 10%
Ron Paul: 8%
Other: 2%

Oklahoma Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 55%
Barack Obama: 42%
Other: 3%

Oklahoma GOP:
John McCain: 42%
Mike Huckabee: 30%
Mitt Romney: 23%
Ron Paul: 4%
Other: 1%

Tennessee Dem:
Hillary Clinton: 55%
Barack Obama: 41%
Other: 4%

Tennessee GOP:
Mike Huckabee: 35%
John McCain: 32%
Mitt Romney: 28%
Ron Paul: 4%
Other: 1%

Utah Dem:
Barack Obama: 54%
Hillary Clinton: 44%
Other: 2%

Utah GOP:
Mitt Romney: 65%
John McCain: 15%
Mike Huckabee: 12%
Ron Paul: 6%
Other: 2%

West Virginia:
John McCain: 40%
Mike Huckabee: 30%
Mitt Romney: 24%
Ron Paul: 5%
Other: 1%