Monday, July 21, 2008

Senate/Gov Projections IV

Updated rankings Previous ranking in ()

Governors:
Possible Dem takeover/lean GOP
1. Missouri (Nixon) (1)
2. Indiana (Thompson) (2)

Safe GOP
3. Vermont (Symington) (3)
4. North Dakota (Mathern) (4)
5. Utah (Springmeyer) (5)

Toss up/GOP takeover
1. Washington (Rossi) (1)
2. North Carolina (McCroy) (2)

Possible in GOP landslide/Probably Dem
3. Delaware (TBD) (3)

Safe Dem
4. West Virginia (Weeks) (5)
5. New Hampshire (Kenney)(6)
6. Montana (Brown) (4)

Senate
Dem takeover
1. Virginia (Warner) (1)
2. New Mexico (Udall) (2)
3. Colorado (Udall) (4)
4. New Hampshire (Shaheen) (3)

Possible Dem takeover/lean GOP
5. Oregon (Merkley) (7)
6. Alaska (Begich) (5)
7. Mississippi B (Musgrove) (6)

Possible in Dem landslide/Probably GOP
8. Kentucky (Lunsford) (8)
9. Maine (Allen) (13)
10. Minnesota (Franken) (10)
11. North Carolina (Hagen) (9)
12. Texas (Noriega) (12)
13. Oklahoma (Rice) (14)
14. Idaho (LaRocco) (15)
15. Kansas (Slattery) (11)
16. Nebraska (Kleeb) (16)
17. Georgia (TBD) (17)

Safe GOP
18. Wyoming B (Goodenough) (19)
19. Tennessee (TBD) (18)
20. Wyoming A (Rothfuss) (20)
21. Alabama (Figures) (21)
22. South Carolina (Conley) (23)
23. Mississippi A (Fleming) (22)

GOP Tossup
1. Louisiana (Kennedy) (1)

Possible in GOP landslide/Probably Dem
2. New Jersey (Zimmer) (2)

Safe Dem
3. South Dakota (Dykstra) (4)
4. Michigan (Hoogendyk) (3)
5. Illinois (Sauerburgh) (6)
6. West Virginia (Wolfe) (7)
7. Iowa (Reed) (9)
8. Massachusetts (Beatty) (5)
9. Delaware (O'Donnell) (8)
10. Rhode Island (Tingle) (10)
11. Montana (Kelleher) (11)
12. Arkansas (Green Party) (12)

Saturday, July 12, 2008

Wyoming VP Rankings

Wyoming Democrats
Dave Freudenthal: Gov, Ranking: 6, Can't bring in WY, but may help a little in other Mtn. west states.

Wyoming Republicans
Mike Enzi: Sen, Ranking: 5, A safe conservative.
John Barrasso: Sen, Ranking; 3, Has less than a year in office.
Barbara Cubin: Rep WY-AL, Ranking: 2, Unpopular with almost everyone.

Wisconsin VP Rankings

Wisconsin Democrats
Jim Doyle: Gov, Ranking: 4, Has been a mediocre Gov.
Herb Kohl: Sen, Ranking; 3, Too old.
Russ Feingold: Sen, Ranking: 5, Loved by the base may hurt with the center.
Tammy Baldwin: Rep WI-2, Ranking: 5, Could help with base and Clinton supporters.
Ron Kind: Rep Wi-3, Ranking: 5, One of several young Wisconsin Reps.
Gwen Moore: Rep WI-4, Ranking: 3, Only 4 years in Congress.
Dave Obey: Rep WI-7, Ranking: 4, Almost 40 years in congress, but is almost 70.
Steve Kagen: Rep WI-8, Ranking: 3, Freshman.

Wisconsin Republicans
Scott McCallum: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, Served 23 months as Governor.
Tommy Thompson: Former Gov, Ranking: 6, One of the most experienced Republicans alive, and may be able to deliver Wisconsin.
Paul Ryan: Rep WI-1, Ranking: 6, Only 38, but has 10 years in Congress.
Jim Sensenbrenner: Rep WI-5, Ranking: 5, 30 years in Congress.
Tom Petri: Rep WI-6, Ranking: 5, see above.

VP Rankings West Virginia

West Virginia Democrats
Joe Manchin: Gov, Ranking: 5, Fairly popular gov and could put WV in play.
Robert Byrd: Sen, Ranking: 1, Way too old.
Jay Rockefeller: Sen, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Alan Mollohan: Rep WV-1, Ranking: 3, Over 20 years in congress, but has ethical problems.
Nick Rahall: Rep WV-3, Ranking: 5, Has served since 1977.

West Virginia Republicans
Shelley Moore Capito: Rep WV-2, Ranking: 5, The highest ranking Republican in West Virginia.

VP Rankings Washington

Washington Democrats
Christine Gregoire: Gov, Ranking: 4, Won in 2004 by less than 200 votes.
Gary Locke: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, A fairly popular former gov, but has been totally out of politics for 4 years.
Patty Murray: Sen, Ranking: 5, Three term senator from what should be a safe Obama state.
Maria Cantwell: Sen, Ranking: 6, After a very close 2000 election Cantwell is steadily gaining power in the senate.
Jay Inslee: Rep WA-1, Ranking: 5, Probably will run for the next open Sen or Gov seat.
Rick Larsen: Rep WA-2, Ranking: 4, Has served since 2001, but is only 43.
Brian Baird: Rep WA-3, Ranking; 3, Pro-Iraq stance would kill him with the base.
Norm Dicks: Rep WA-6, Ranking: 5, A veteran congressman who could help Obama on security.
Jim McDermott; Rep WA-7, Ranking: 2, Too liberal.
Adam Smith: Rep WA-9, Ranking: 6, Only 43 but has 10 years in Congress and was an early Obama supporter.

Washington Republicans
Doc Hastings: Rep WA-4, Ranking: 3, Ties to several scandals would hurt the ticket.
Cathy McMorris Rodgers: Rep WA-5, Ranking: 5, Very young Congresswoman who has just given birth.
Dave Reichert: Rep WA-8, Ranking: 5, Could help McCain on the diminishing law and order issues.

Virginia VP Rankings

Virginia Democrats
Tim Kaine: Gov, Ranking: 8, A Republican would become Governor, but losing Virginia could be a devastating blow to McCain.
Mark Warner: Former Gov, Ranking: 8, Would deliver Virginia, but is running for the Senate.
Jim Webb: Sen, Ranking; 1, Webb can't go 10 seconds with out some thing embarrassing coming up.
Bobby Scott: Rep VR-3, Ranking; 3, Two African Americans on the ticket is unlikely.
Jim Moran: Rep VR-8, Ranking; 5, A mixed voting record that could hurt the base, but may help in other areas.
Rick Boucher: Rep VR-9, Ranking: 5, Has been in Congress since 1983.

Virginia Republicans
Jim Gilmore: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, Former gov of a possible swing state, but was not very popular and is running for Senate.
George Allen: Former Sen and Former Gov, Ranking: 3, Macaca.
John Warner: Sen, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Rob Wittman: Rep VR-1, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Thelma Drake: Rep VR-2, Ranking: 4, Has not yet established herself in Congress.
Randy Forbes: Rep VR-4, Ranking: 5, A strong party man.
Virgil Goode: Rep VR-5, Ranking; 4, Anti-Muslim comments could hurt the ticket.
Bob Goodlatte: Rep VR-6, Ranking: 4, Has 15 years in Congress but no leadership possition.
Eric Cantor: Rep VR-7, Ranking: 6, Youth could counter McCain's age.
Frank Wolf: Rep VR-10, Ranking: 4, Has served since 1981, but is only a few years younger than McCain.
Tom Davis: Rep VR-11, Ranking: 5, May prevent Obama gains in Northern Virginia.

Vermont VP Rankings

Vermont Democrats
Howard Dean: Former Gov, Ranking: 2, Toxic.
Patrick Leahy: Sen, Ranking: 4, Probably too liberal.
Peter Welch: Rep VT-AL, Ranking: 3, Freshman.

Vermont Republicans
Jim Douglas: Gov, Ranking: 6, Would help in New England, but not with the base.

Utah VP Rankings

Utah Democrats
Jim Matheson: Rep UT-2, Ranking: 5, The only Democrat who could be chosen from Utah.

Utah Republicans
Jon Huntsman: Gov, Ranking: 5, Probably decent for the base and could help McCain's age issue.
Mike Leavitt: HHS Sec and Former Gov, Ranking: 7, A long list of executive experience.
Orrin Hatch: Sen, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Bob Bennett: Sen, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Rob Bishop: Rep UT-1, Ranking: 4, McCain does not need help in Utah.
Chris Cannon: Rep UT-3, Ranking: 5, Is as conservative as Utah is.

Friday, July 11, 2008

Texas VP Rankings

Texas Democrats
Al Green: Rep TX-9, Ranking: 3, Obama is unlikely to pick another African American.
Rubén Hinojosa: Rep TX-15, Ranking: 5, Helps with Hispanics, but may be too liberal.
Silvestre Reyes: Rep TX-16, Ranking: 6, Could help with Hispanics and on Defense issues, but has made several significant political missteps.
Chet Edwards: Rep TX-17, Ranking: 7, Has good experience and has the backing of some prominent Democrats.
Sheila Jackson-Lee: Rep TX-18, Ranking: 2, Would hurt Obama in patriotism.
Charlie Gonzalez: Rep TX-20, Ranking: 6, A Hispanic Congressman who is a member of the New Democrats.
Nick Lampson: Rep TX-22, Ranking: 3, Represents a fluke Democratic district.
Lloyd Doggett: Rep TX-25, Ranking: 5, One of the most liberal Texas Reps.
Solomon Ortiz: Rep TX-27, Ranking: 4, May help with Hispanics but is over 70.
Henry Cuellar: Rep TX-28, Ranking: 4, Similar to Ortize, but may be two young.
Gene Green: Rep TX-29, Ranking: 5, May help Obama on energy issues.
Eddie Bernice Johnson: Rep TX-30, Ranking: 3, Too old.

Texas Republicans
Rick Perry: Gov, Ranking:6, Holds the highest political office in the second largest state, and has been in office since 2000. Perry however does not seem to be widely popular in spite of him winning reelection easily.
Kay Bailey Hutchison: Sen, Ranking: 7, One of the top female Republicans, but could upset some pro-lifers.
John Cornyn: Sen, Ranking: 5, Generally votes down the party line, so he shouldn't upset the base, but has very little appeal elsewhere.
Louie Gohmert: Rep TX-1, Ranking: 4, Has been an attack dog, but only has two terms in the House.
Ted Poe: Rep TX-2, Ranking: 5, Only has four years in the House, but served in the Courts before hand.
Sam Johnson: Rep TX-3, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Ralph Hall: Rep TX-4, Ranking: 2, Too old.
Jeb Hensarling: Rep TX-5, Ranking: 5, An up and coming Rep, but is still probably a few years away from seeking higher office.
Joe Barton: Rep TX-6, Ranking: 4, 14 years in congress, but has had too many controversial votes.
John Culberson: Rep TX-7, Ranking: 4, Typical Texas conservative.
Kevin Brady: Rep TX-8, Ranking: 4, Recent drunk driving hurts him.
Michael McCaul: Rep TX-10, Ranking: 4, Young, but hasn't done anything in Congress yet.
Mike Conaway: Rep TX-11, Ranking: 4, Does not add any strenghts to the ticket.
Kay Granger: Rep TX-12, Ranking: 5, A weaker version of KBH.
Mac Thornberry: Rep TX-13, Ranking: 5, One of the least distinguished of the class of 1994.
Ron Paul: Rep TX-14, Ranking: 1, Old and most republicans hate him.
Randy Neugebauer: Rep TX-19, Ranking: 4, Not a major Congressman, but is solidly conservative.
Lamar Smith: Rep TX-21, Ranking: 6, As the ranking Republican on the Judiciary committee he could help with social conservatives.
Kenny Marchant: Rep TX-24, Ranking: 4, No reason to pick him.
Michael Burgess: Rep TX-26, Ranking: 4, See above.
John Carter: Rep TX-31, Ranking: 4, Similar to the other 4s.
Pete Sessions: Rep TX-32, Ranking: 3, Has too many ethical problems.

Thursday, July 10, 2008

VP Rankings Tennessee

Tennessee Democrats
Phil Bredesen: Gov, Ranking: 6, May help in the south, but probably can't bring in Tennessee.
Jim Cooper: Rep TN-5, Ranking: 4, Has had several high profile losses.
Bart Gordon: Rep TN-6, Ranking: 5, Over two decades in Congress.
John Tanner: Rep TN-8, Ranking: 5, Has 20 years in Congress, but is a fairly mionor Congressman.
Steve Cohen: Rep TN-9, Ranking: 3, Freshman.

Tennessee Republicans
Lamar Alexander: Sen, Ranking: 5, Great experience, but is 68.
Fred Thompson: Former Sen, Ranking: 8, Would give McCain much needed media exposure.
Bob Corker: Sen, Ranking: 4, Only elected in 2006.
Bill Frist: Former Sen, Ranking: 5, A lot of people are angry at Frist for his stint as majority leader.
David Davis: Rep TN-1, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Jimmy Duncan: Rep TN-2, Ranking: 4, Has served since 1988, but has not made a name for himself.
Zach Wamp: Rep TN-3, Ranking: 6, Member of the class of 1994, and has become a fairly powerful member.
Lincoln Davis: Rep TN-4, Ranking: 4, No real advantages.
Marsha Blackburn: Rep TN-7, Ranking: 6, Popular with base, but was only elected in 2002.

Wednesday, July 9, 2008

VP Rankings South Dakota

South Dakota Democrats
Tim Johnson: Sen, Ranking: 3, Has health problems.
Tom Daschle: Former Sen: Ranking: 2, Dear God no.
Stephanie Herseth: Rep SD-AL, Ranking: 4, The future of the SD Democratic party, but not ready for the national stage.

South Dakota Republicans
Mike Rounds: Gov, Ranking: 7, Very popular with the pro lifers.
John Thune: Sen, Ranking: 6, Great pick to apease the far right of the GOP.

VP Rankings South Carolina

South Carolina Democrats
Jim Hodges: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, Other than being from the South Hodges has no advantages.
John Spratt: Rep SC-5, Ranking: 4, One of the most conservative Democrats in the south.
Jim Clyburn: Rep SC-6, Ranking: 3, Has had several problematic statements.

South Carolina Republicans
Mark Sanford: Gov, Ranking: 9, The ideal Southerner for McCain. A governor, young, and very conservative.
David Beasley: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Not bad, but is overshadowed by the large number of talented Republicans in South Carolina.
Lindsey Graham: Sen, Ranking: 6, moderate for a Southern Republican, but still solidly conservative.
Jim DeMint: Sen, Ranking: 5, Popular with conservatives, but only has 4 years in the senate, and may not be popular with the US at large.
Henry Brown JR: Rep SC-1, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Joe Wilson: Rep SC-2, Ranking: 4, Probably too divisive.
Gresham Barrett: Rep SC-3, Ranking: 5, Young, Southern, Conservative.
Bob Inglis: Rep SC-4, Ranking: 4, Only 4 years in Congress.

VP Rankings Rhode Island

Rhode Island Democrats
Jack Reed: Sen, Ranking: 7, Good security credentials and over a decade of legislative experience.
Sheldon Whitehouse: Sen, Ranking: 4, Probably too inexperienced.
Patrick Kennedy: Rep RH-1, Ranking: 4, I doubt Obama wants a Kennedy.
Jim Langevin: Rep RH-2, Ranking: 4, Has problems with base.

Rhode Island Republicans
Don Carcieri: Gov, Ranking: 5, Solid conservative credentials for a New England Republican.
Lincoln Chafee: Former Sen, Ranking: 2, Chafee is pissed at the GOP.

Tuesday, July 8, 2008

Pennsylvania VP Rankings

Pennsylvania Democrats
Ed Rendell: Gov, Ranking: 8, Would take Pennsylvania out of play and may help in Ohio.
Bob Casey: Sen , Ranking: 4, Needs more exp.
Bob Brady: Rep PA-1, Ranking: 5, Fairly powerful may help a little with blue coller democrats.
Chaka Fattah: Rep PA-2, Ranking: 3, Two African Americans on the ticket is unlikely.
Jason Altmire: Rep PA-4, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Joe Sestak: Rep PA-7, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Patrick Murphy: Rep PA-8, Ranking:3, Freshman.
Chris Carney: Rep PA-10, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Paul Kanjorski: Rep PA-11, Ranking: 3, Too old.
John Murtha: Rep PA-12, Ranking: 2, Too old.
Allyson Schwartz: Rep PA-13, Ranking: 4, Only 4 years in congress, but may help with women and Jewish voters.
Mike Doyle: Rep PA-14, Ranking: 6, Mixed liberal and conservative record on social issues.
Tim Holden: Rep PA-17, Ranking: 6, Solid all aroung, but nothing too special.

Pennsylvania Republicans
Mark Schweiker: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Former Gov of a swing state but served less than two years.
Tom Ridge: Former Gov and Former sec of homeland security, Ranking: 10, If McCain picks Ridge he probably wins the election.
Arlen Specter: Sen, Ranking: 3, Too Old.
Rick Santorum: Former Sen, Ranking: 5, Good for social conservatives, but probably can't deliver home state.
Phil English: Rep PA-3, Ranking: 5, May help in Western PA.
John Peterson: Rep PA-5, Ranking: 6, Could help McCain on energy issues.
Jim Gerlach: Rep PA-6, Ranking: 5, May help with moderates, but could hurt with conservatives.
Bill Shuster: Rep PA-9, Ranking: 6, Young congressman from swing state.
Charlie Dent: Rep PA-15, Ranking: 4, Only two terms.
Joe Pitts: Rep PA-16, Ranking: 5, Swing state conservative, but is 68.
Tim Murphy: Rep PA-18, Ranking: 5, May help a little in PA.
Todd Platts: Rep PA-19, Ranking:5, Four term centerist.

VP Rankings Oregon

Oregon Democrats
Ted Kulongoski: Gov, Ranking: 5, Probably not popular enough.
John Kitzhaber: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, Looks too much like a Hippy.
Ron Wyden: Sen, Ranking: 6, Probably the most popular politician in Oregon.
Earl Blumenauer: Rep OR-3, Ranking: 4, Probably too liberal.
Peter DeFazio: Rep OR-4, Ranking: 5, 20 year Congressman.
Darlene Hooley: Rep OR-5, Ranking: 5, Held a swing seat for ten years.

Oregon Republicans
Gordon Smith: Sen, Ranking: 4, Would put a senate seat at risk.
Greg Walden: Rep OR-2, Ranking: 5, May be able to flip Oregon.

VP Rankings Oklahoma

Oklahoma Democrats
Brad Henry: Gov, Ranking: 7, Counters Obama's liberalism, but cannot bring in his home state.
Dan Boren: Rep OK-2, Ranking: 4, Probably too conservative.

Oklahoma Republicans
JC Watts: Former Rep, Ranking: 4, Is in a lot of VP list, but makes no sense to me.
Jim Inhofe: Sen, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Tom Coburn: Sen, Ranking: 6, Rallies Conservatives and pisses off liberals.
Don Nickles: Former Sen, Ranking: 6, Good experience and GOP wont open up a seat.
John Sullivan: Rep OK-1, Ranking: 4, Has several minor law violations.
Frank Lucas: Rep OK-3, Ranking: 5, Has served since 1994, but is only 48.
Tom Cole: Rep OK-4, Ranking: 5, Only native American in Congress.
Mary Fallin: Rep OK-5, Ranking: 3, Freshman.

VP Rankings Ohio

Ohio Democrats
Ted Strickland: Gov, Ranking: 9, Would probably deliver Ohio thus would be a valuable pick, but has come out against being VP.
Sherrod Brown: Sen, Ranking: 7, Senator from the most important swing state, that will probably be acceptable to the base.
Charlie Wilson: Rep OH-6, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Marcy Kaptur: Rep OH-9, Ranking: 4, Bin Laden comments would hurt Obama's image.
Dennis Kucinich: Rep OH-10, Ranking: 1, pass.
Stephanie Tubbs Jones: Rep OH-11, Ranking: 3, Too liberal.
Betty Sutton: Rep OH-13, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Zack Space: Rep OH-18, Ranking: 3, Freshman.

Ohio Republicans
Bob Taft: Former Gov, Ranking: 1, Coingate.
George Voinovich: Sen and Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Popular in Ohio, but is 71.
Mike DeWine: Former Sen, Ranking: 5, Could help in Ohio, but as a reelection loser may be unattractive.
Steve Chabot: Rep OH-1, Ranking: 7, Highly touted within GOP circles, but unknown outside his immediate area.
Jean Schmidt: Rep OH-2, Ranking: 2, No one likes mean Jean.
Mike Turner: Rep OH-3, Ranking: 5, Young (48) but wife has ethical issues.
Jim Jordan: Rep OH-4, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Bob Latta: Rep OH-5, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Dave Hobson: Rep OH-7, Ranking: 4, Little known and 71.
John Boehner: Rep OH-8, Ranking: 5, Would have to give up house leadership spot.
Pat Tiberi: Rep OH-12, Ranking: 5, Biggest asset is his age.
Steve LaTourette: Rep OH-14, Ranking: 6, Could help McCain in Cleveland area.
Deborah Pryce: rep OH-15, Ranking; 3, Has a long list of ethical issues.
Ralph Regula: Rep OH-16, Ranking: 2, Too Old.

Monday, July 7, 2008

Vp Rankings North Dakota

North Dakota Democrats
Kent Conrad: Sen, Ranking: 6, 16 year Senator from conservative state.
Byron Dorgan: Sen: Ranking: 6, See above.
Earl Pomeroy: Rep ND-AL, Ranking: 4, Bush comments kill him.

North Dakota Republicans
John Hoeven: Gov, Ranking: 7, Is the longest serving sitting Governor in the US.
Ed Schafer: Former Gov and Sec of Agriculture, Ranking; 6, Has decades of executive experience.

VP Rankings North Carolina

North Carolina Democrats
Mike Easley: Gov, Ranking: 8, Best candidate if Obama wants to make a run at North Carolina.
John Edwards: Former Sen, Ranking; 4, I just don't like him.
G. K. Butterfield: Rep NC-1, Ranking: 4, A minor Congressman.
Bob Etheridge: Rep NC-2, Ranking: 5, An OK, but not great pick if Obama is looking for a Southerner.
David Price: Rep NC-4, Ranking: 5, Fairly conservative Southern Democrat.
Mike McIntyre: Rep NC-7, Ranking: 5, Same as most other NC Congressmen.
Heath Shuler: Rep NC-11, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Mel Watt: Rep NC-12, Ranking: 3, An all African American ticket is unlikely.
Brad Miller: Rep NC-13, Ranking: 5, Serves on several major committees, but is not the chair on any of them.

North Carolina Republicans
Elizabeth Dole: Sen, Ranking: 4, Borderline on age (71).
Richard Burr: Sen, Ranking: 5, Would tie up NC for McCain.
Walter Jones: Rep NC-3, Ranking: 4, Ties to Ron Paul takes him out of serious consideration.
Virginia Foxx: Rep NC-5, Ranking: 4, 65 but only has 4 years in Congress.
Howard Coble: Rep NC-6, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Robin Hayes: Rep NC-8, Ranking: 4, Several highly questionable statements hurts him.
Sue Myrick: Rep NC-9, Ranking: 6, Could help McCain with North Carolina and women.

Sunday, July 6, 2008

VP Rankings New York

New York Democrats
David Paterson: Gov, Rankings: 1, Has a number of major personal problems.
Eliot Spitzer: Former Gov, Ranking: 1, Hookers.
Chuck Schumer: Sen, Ranking: 5, Solid, but I think he is content with his job in the Senate
Hillary Clinton: Sen, Ranking: 7, Would unite the Democratic party, but may cause blowback with independents.
Tim Bishop: Rep NY-1, Ranking: 4, Long Island Democrat elected in 2002.
Steve Israel: Rep NY-2, Ranking: 5, Could help with Jewish voters, but may hurt with base.
Carolyn McCarthy: Rep NY-4, Ranking: 5, OK pick but people may wonder why Obama didn't just pick Clinton.
Gary Ackerman: Rep NY-5, Ranking: 5, First Elected in 1982, and could help tie up Jewish voters.
Gregory Meeks: Rep NY-6, Ranking: 3, An all African American ticket is doubtful.
Joseph Crowley: Rep NY-7, Ranking: 5, Only 46, but has 10 years in Congress.
Jerrold Nadler: Rep NY-8, Ranking: 5, Could help with Jewish voters and the base.
Anthony Weiner: Rep NY-9, Ranking: 4, Is probably looking to be the next mayor of NYC.
Ed Towns: Rep NY-10, Ranking: 3, Too old
Yvette Clarke: Rep NY-11, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Carolyn Maloney: Rep NY-14, Ranking: 5, A poorman's Hillary Clinton.
Charles Rangel: Rep NY-15, Ranking: 3, Too Old
Eliot Engel: Rep NY-17, Ranking: 6, 20 year congressman with seats on several major committees.
Nita Lowey: Rep NY-18, Ranking: 5, Could help with Jewish and female vote, but is 70.
John Hall: Rep NY-19, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Kirsten Gillibrand: Rep NY-20, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Mike McNulty: Rep NY-21, Ranking: 6, 20 year Congressman that could help Obama with his experience.
Maurice Hinchey: Rep NY-22, Ranking: 5, First elected in 1992, and represents an upstate district.
Michael Arcuri: Rep NY-24, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Brian Higgins: Rep NY-27, Ranking: 4, Only elected in 2004, but could appeal to blue collier Democrats.
Louise Slaughter: Rep NY-28, Ranking: 3, Too old.


New York Republicans
George Pataki: Former Gov, Ranking: 8, May not help McCain in the election but would make a good VP.
Peter King: Rep NY-3, Ranking: 6, An increasingly rare New York Republican that matches up with McCain well on security
Michael Bloomberg: Mayor NY NY, Ranking: 6, Social Conservatives hate him, but would help with most other groups.
Rudy Giuliani: Former Mayor NY NY, Ranking: 7, Republicans can shove "America's mayor" down our throats some more.
Vito Fossella: Rep NY-13, Ranking: 1, Had a child out of marriage.
John McHugh: Rep NY-23, Ranking: 5, Nothing wrong with him, but he does not help in any way.
Jim Walsh: Rep NY-25, Ranking: 4, Has had trouble holding his seat recently.
Tom Reynolds: Rep NY-26, Ranking: 3, Ties to house page scandal kills him.
Randy Kuhl: Rep NY-29, Ranking: 4, Has not established himself in Congress yet.

VP Rankings New Mexico

New Mexico Democrats
Bill Richardson: Gov, Ranking: 7, Good experience and could help in New Mexico and with Hispanics.
Jeff Bingaman: Sen, Ranking: 6, Helps in New Mexico, but is not as good as Richardson
Tom Udall: Rep NM-3, Ranking: 4, Is running for Senate.

New Mexico Republicans
Gary johnson: Former Gov, Ranking: 2, Possition on Drugs takes him out of the running.
Pete Domenici: Sen, Ranking: 1, too old.
Heather Wilson: Rep NM-1, Ranking: 4, Ethics problems hurts her chances.
Steve Pearce: Rep NM-2, Ranking: 4, Is running for Senate

VP Rankings New Jersey

New Jersey Democrats
Jon Corzine: Gov, Ranking: 3, A huge list of ethical issues.
Richard Codey: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, Only served two years as Governor.
Jim McGreevey: Former Gov, Ranking: 2, McGreevey is Gay.
Frank Lautenberg: Sen, Ranking: 1, Too old.
Robert Menendez: Sen, Ranking: 5, Could help with Hispanics, but has some possible ethics issues.
Rob Andrews: Rep NJ-1, Ranking: 3, Tried to primary Menendez.
Frank Pallone: Rep NJ-6, Ranking: 5, Could help minorly on experience issue.
Bill Pascrell: Rep NJ-8, Ranking: 4, Age (71) could be a problem.
Steve Rothman: Rep NJ-9, Ranking: 6, Popular within the Jewish comunity.
Donald Payne: Rep NJ-10, Ranking; 3, Too old.
Rush Holt: Rep NJ-12, Ranking; 4, Has a phd and is a Quaker.

New Jersey Republicans
Donald DiFrancesco: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, Was only Governor for about a year.
Christine Todd Whitman: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Helps in NJ, but is not popular with conservatives.
Frank LiBiondo: Rep NJ-2, Ranking: 3, Selection could upset conservatives.
Jim Saxton: Rep NJ-3, Ranking: 1, cancer.
Chris Smith: Rep NJ-4, Ranking: 6, Solid conservative, that has been in office since the 1980s.
Scott Garrett: Rep NJ-5, Ranking: 6, Conservative and young.
Mike Ferguson: Rep NJ-7, Ranking: 5, Very young, but is still a four term Congressman.
Rodney Frelinghuysen: Rep NJ-11, Ranking: 6, Could give McCain a small chance at New Jersey.

VP Rankings New Hampshire

New Hampshire Democrats
John Lynch: Gov, Ranking: 8, Would tie up New Hampshire, and has no real weakness.
Jeanne Shaheen: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, running for senate.
Carol Shea-Porter: Rep NH-1, Ranking: 2, freshman
Paul Hodes: Rep NH-2, Ranking: 3, Freshman

New Hampshire Republican
Craig Benson: Former Gov, Ranking: 3, Only served 2 years as Governor.
Judd Gregg: Sen, Ranking: 6, If McCain wants to boost his chances in NH, Gregg is the best choice.
John Sununu: Sen, Ranking: 4, Is in a very tough reelection battle.

VP Rankings Nevada

Nevada Democrats
Harry Ried, Sen, Ranking: 2, VP spot would probably be a demotion.
Richard Bryan: Former Sen and Gov, Ranking: 5, May help tilt Nevada to Obama.
Shelly Berkley: Rep NV-1, Ranking: 5, Could help Obama with several key demographics.

Nevada Republicans
Jim Gibbons: Gov, Ranking: 1, Has a growing list of ethical issues.
John Ensign: Sen, Ranking: 5, Would probably lock up Nevada.
Dean Heller: Rep NV-2, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Jon Porter: Rep NV-3, Ranking: 4, His district borders Arizona.

VP Rankings Nebraska

Nebraska Democrats
Chuck Hagel: Sen, Ranking: 6, Could be a good national unity pick, but may be too conservative.
Ben Nelson: Sen, Ranking: 5, Balances ticket.
Bob Kerrey: Former Sen, Ranking: 8, Medal of Honor winner and a centerist, could cover some of Obama's weak points.

Nebraska Republicans
Dave Heineman: Gov, Ranking: 5, An uninspired safe pick.
Mike Johanns: Former Gov, and Former Sec of Agriculture, Ranking: 4, Would have been a good pick, but is running for senate.
Jeff Fortenberry: Rep NE-1, Ranking: 3, Would hurt McCain on pork.
Lee Terry, Rep NE-2, Ranking: 4, Could help McCain win Nebraska by even more.
Adrian Smith: Rep NE-3, Ranking: 3, Freshman.

VP Rankings Montana

Montana Democrats
Brian Schweitzer: Gov, Ranking: 9, No real weakness. Probably gives Obama his only real shot at Montana, and may help a little in other western states.
Max Baucus: Sen, Ranking 6, Is one of the most powerful senators, which could help Obama on the experience problem.
Jon Tester: Sen, Ranking: 3, Only elected in 2006.

Montana Republicans
Judy Martz: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, A little known ex-Governor of Montana.
Marc Racicot: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, current lobbyist job could hurt ticket.
Conrad Burns: Former Sen, Ranking: 1, Old and corrupt.
Denny Rehberg: Rep MT-AL, Ranking: 5, Highest ranking republican in Montana.

Saturday, July 5, 2008

VP Rankings Missouri

Missouri Democrats
Bob Holden: Former Gov, Ranking: 2, Was primaried in reelection bid.
Claire McCaskill: Sen, Ranking: 3, Has spent less time in the Senate than Obama.
Wiliam Clay, Rep MO-1, Ranking: 3, Would help in St. Louis, but probably hurt in the rest of the state.
Russ Carnahan: Rep MO-3, Ranking: 3, Only in his second term.
Dick Gephart: Former Rep, Ranking: 7, Will this finally be his year?
Ike Skelton: Rep MO-4, Ranking: 3, Too old.
Emanuel Cleaver: Rep MO-5, Ranking: 2, Has a very poor relationship with Obama.

Missouri Republicans
Matt Blunt: Gov, Ranking: 3, May actually hurt McCain in Missouri.
Kit Bond: Sen and Former Gov, Ranking 5, A twenty year Senator, but is only three years younger than McCain.
Jim Talent: Former Sen, Ranking: 4, Reelection defeat could hurt his viability.
Todd Akin: Rep MO-2, Ranking: 5, Would help tie up Missouri, and is strongly pro-life.
Sam Graves: Rep MO-6, Ranking: 5, Young+Conservative+Swing state= solid pick.
Roy Blunt: Rep MO-7, Ranking: 6, A powerful Congressman, but has ethics issues.
Jo Ann Emerson: Rep MO-8, Ranking: 5, Could help McCain with Missouri and with women.
Kenny Hulshof: Rep MO-9, Ranking: 4, Running for Governor.

Mississippi VP Rankings

Mississippi Democrats
Ronnie Musgrove: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, is running for senate instead.
Travis Childers: Rep MS-1, Ranking: 2, Elected less than two months ago.
Bernnie Thompson: Rep MS-2, Ranking:3, An all African American ticket is unlikely.
Gene Taylor: Rep MS-4, Ranking: 4, Probably too conservative to make the Democratic ticket.

Mississippi Republicans
Haley Barbour: Gov, Ranking 7, Would end what little danger McCain is in in the deep south, but ethics problems could hurt him.
Thad Cochran: Sen, Ranking 4, A solid pick, but would highlight age issue.
Roger Wicker: Sen, Ranking 4, Republicans need him to hold his senate seat.
Trent Lott: Former Sen, Ranking: 3, Has about as much of a chance as Strom Thurmond.
Chip Pickering: Rep MS-3, Ranking: 4, Appearance in Borat movie could embarrass campaign.

VP Rankings Minnesota

Minnesota Democrats
Amy Klobuchar, Sen, Ranking: 3, Has been in the Senate for an even shorter amount of time than Obama.
Mark Dayton, Former Sen, Ranking: 4, Only served one term.
Tim Waltz: Rep MN-1, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Betty Mcollum: Rep MN-4, Ranking: 4, A little known Rep from St. Paul.
Keith Ellison: Rep MN-5, Ranking: 1, I think it will be a while before we see a Muslim on a ticket.
Collin Paterson: Rep MN-7, Ranking: 6, An original Blue dog, could help Obama in Minnesota and maybe even in North Dakota.
jim Oberstar: Rep MN-8, Ranking: 4, A veteran thus fairly powerful Congressman whose age may hurt his chances.

Minnesota Republicans
Tim Pawlenty: Gov, Ranking: 8, Young (47) and already in his second term as Governor. Could help Republicans highlight out reach to Minnesota with convention and running mate, but win in Minnesota is still unlikely.
Norm Colman: Sen, Ranking: 5, A weaker version of Pawlenty.
John Kline: Rep MN-2, Ranking: 5, Should be acceptable to most Republicans, but Pawlenty would be better to make a run at Minnesota.
Jim Ramstad: Rep MN-3, Ranking: 4, Probably too liberal to be the Republican VP.
Michele Bachmann: Rep MN-6, Ranking: 3, Freshman.

VP Rankings Michigan

Michigan Democrats
Carl Levin: Sen, Ranking: 4, Age 74 hurts his chances.
Debbie Stabenow, Sen, Ranking: 6, Could help with women and Michigan.
Bart Stupak: Rep MI-1, Ranking: 5, Could help Obama in rural Michigan.
Dale Kildee: Rep MI-5, Ranking: 2, Too old.
Sander Levin: Rep MI-12, Ranking: 2, Older brother of Senator Carl Levin.
Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick: Rep MI-13, Ranking: 1, We probably wont see two African Americans on the ticket.
John Conyers: Rep MI-14, Ranking: 1, Too old.
John Dingell: Rep MI-15, Ranking: 1, Too old.

Michigan Republicans
John Engler: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Republicans seem to think Michigan is a pickup opportunity. Engler could help.
Spencer Abraham: Former Sec of Energy and Former Sen, Ranking: 6, Experience in the senate and executive branch.
Vern Ehlers: Rep MI-3, Ranking: 3, Too old.
David Camp: Rep MI-4, Ranking: 5, Elected in 1990, but is only 54.
Fred Upton: Rep MI-6, Ranking: 6, Elected in the 1980s and represents a moderately Republican district.
Mike Rogers: Rep MI-8, Ranking: 6, Young six term congressman from potential swing state.
Joe Knollenberg: Rep MI-9, Ranking: 2, Too old.
Candice Miller: Rep MI-10, Ranking: 5, One of a number of options for McCain if he wants to make a stand in Germany.
Thad McCotter: Rep MI-11, Ranking:5, Young, but one of the ugliest members of Congress.
Tim Walberg: Rep MI-7, Ranking: 3, Freshman

Vp Rankings Massachusetts

Massachusetts Democrats
Deval Patrick: Gov, Ranking: 3, A first term Governor who has not had the greatest first year in office.
Ted Kennedy: Sen, Ranking: 1, The list is too long to post.
John Kerry: Sen, Ranking: 3, His career in national politics is over.
John Olver: Rep MA-1, Ranking: 4, First elected in 1990, and is a bit on the old side (71), but has not done enough to warrant a spot on the ticket.
Richard Neal: Rep MA-2, Ranking: 4, No real benefit as VP pick.
Jim McGovern: Rep MA-3, Ranking: 4, Too outspoken on foreign policy matters to be a good pick.
Barney Frank: Rep MA-4, Ranking: 2, America is not ready for a gay VP.
Niki Tsongas: Rep MA-5, Ranking: 2, Freshman.
John Tierney: Rep MA-6, Ranking: 4, I think it is safe to say Obama won't pick someone from MA.
Ed Markey: Rep MA-7, Ranking: 4, I've got nothing.
Mike Capuano: Rep MA-8, Ranking: 4, Maybe I shouldnt have done every member of Congress.
Stephen Lynch: Rep MA-9, Ranking:4, Yet another 4.
Bill Delahunt: Rep MA-10, Ranking-4, I'm done!

Massachusetts Republicans
Mitt Romney: Former Gov, Ranking: 6, Many seem to think Romney is the most likely pick for McCain. I think he is only an OK pick though. He helps with fiscal conservatives, but I don't think he helps with social conservatives or independents. May help in Michigan, but I think his impact there is overrated too. Not a bad pick, but McCain can do better.
Jane Swift: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Young (43) and could help McCain with women, but highest elected office was Lt. Gov.
Paul Cellucci: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Served briefly as Governor, then became ambassador to Canada.
William Weld: Former Gov, Ranking: 6, Dominated the Mass GOP during the 1990s.

Friday, July 4, 2008

VP Rankings Maryland

Maryland Democrats
Martin O'Malley: Gov, Ranking: 5, A rising star in the party, but his time is not yet.
Barbara Mikulski: Sen, Ranking: 5, Could appeal to Clinton voters as most senior female senator.
Ben Cardin: Sen, Ranking: 5, New to the Senate, but served 10 years in the House.
Paul Sarbanes: Former Sen, Ranking: 4, Served 30 years in the Senate, but is 75.
Dutch Ruppersberger: Rep MD-2, Ranking: 4, Does not meet any of Obama's needs.
John Sarbanes: Rep MD-3, Rankind: 3, Freshman.
Donna Edwards: Rep MD-4, Ranking: 2, Won a special election about a month ago.
Steny Hoyer: Rep MD-5, Ranking: 4, As majority leader, he would probably lose power as
VP.
Elijah Cummings: MD-7, Ranking: 3, A second African American on the ticket is doubtful.

Maryland Republicans
Robert Ehrlich: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, Nothing clearly wrong with him, but nothing to set him apart from the dozens of other solid candidates.
Michael Steele: Former Lt. Gov, Ranking: 3, Republicans love him, but he has never held major office.
Wayne Gilchrest: Rep MD-1, Ranking: 3, Got primaried.
Roscoe Bartlett: Rep MD-6, Ranking: 2, 82

VP Rankings Maine

Maine Democrats

John Baldacci: Gov, Ranking: 6, Experienced could help shore up New England.

Tom Allen: Rep ME-1, Ranking: 4, Not bad, but is running for Senate.



Maine Republicans

Olympia Snowe: Sen, Ranking: 6, Good for independents, but bad for conservatives. May put New Hampshire and possibly Maine in play.

Susan Collins: Sen, Ranking: 5, A slightly weaker version of Olympia Snowe.

VP Rankings Louisiana

Louisiana Democrats
Kathleen Blanco: Former Gov, Ranking: 2, Got killed by Jindal in reelection bid.
Mary Landrieu: Sen, Ranking: 4, Has lackluster approval rankings and the Democrats will likely loose a senate seat.
Bill Jefferson: Rep LA-2, Ranking: 1, Corrupt even by Louisiana standards.
Charlie Melancon: Rep La-3, Ranking: 4, Dull Southerner.
Don Crazayoux: Rep LA-6, Ranking: 3, Will have served less than a year on inauguration day.

Louisiana Republicans
Bobby Jindal: Gov, Ranking: 9, A perfect counter to Obama and McCain's age. A near perfect pick for the GOP.
David Vitter: Sen, Ranking: 1, Prostitution scandal killed what could have been a good pick.
Steve Scalise: Rep LA-1, Ranking: 3, Has served less than a term.
Jim McCrery: Rep LA-4, Ranking: 4, Support of Romney hurts his slim chances.
Rodney Alexander: Rep LA-5, Ranking: 4, Former Democrat first elected in 2002.
Richard Baker: Former Rep, Ranking: 5, Former Congressman who served over twenty years, but resignation cost GOP seat.
Charles Boustany: Rep LA-7, Ranking: 4, Only in his second term.

VP Rankings Kentucky

Kentucky Democrats
Steve Beshear: Gov, Ranking: 4, Has served in several state offices, but since Obama has no chance of winning Kentucky, Beshear has no chance of getting on the ticket.
John Yarmuth: Rep Ky-3, Ranking: 3, Freshman.
Ben Chandler: Rep Ky-6, Ranking: 5, Could serve as an olive branch to Appalachia, but little else.

Kentucky Republicans
Mitch McConnell: Sen, Ranking: 3, I doubt McCain wants to tie himself too closely to the Senate leadership.
Jim Bunning: Sen, Ranking: 2, Too Old and may be going senile.
Ed Whitfield: Rep Ky-1, Ranking: 4, Elected in 1994 then disappeared.
Ron Lewis: Rep KY-2, Ranking: 5, Strong conservative who is leaving Congress anyways.
Ann Northup: Former Rep: Ranking: 5, Held a swing district for 10 years, but political stock is falling.
Hal Rogers: Rep Ky-4, Ranking: 3, First elected in 1980, but is 70.

VP Rankings Kansas

Kansas Democrats
Kathleen Sebelius: Gov, Ranking: 8, Popular female centrist Governor, but may not be able to hand Obama any states.
Nancy Boyda: Rep KS-2, Ranking: 3, A member of the class of 2006.
Dennis Moore: Rep KS-3, Ranking: 4, A four term pro-choice congressman.

Kansas Republicans
Bill Graves: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, Former Governor who has been out of politics for five years.
Sam Brownback: Sen, Ranking: 6, Could help with social conservatives and catholics.
Pat Roberts, Sen, Ranking: 4, Has good qualifications from the Senate, but is 72.
Jerry Moran: Rep KS-1, Ranking: 4, Could help with rural voters, but brings little else to the ticket.
Todd Tiahrt: Rep KS-4, Ranking: 5, A member from the class of 1994.

VP Rankings Iowa

Iowa Democrats
Chet Culver: Gov, Ranking: 5, His Predecessor would be a better choice.
Tom Vilsack: Former Gov, Ranking:6, Popular former two term Governor would tie up Iowa and may help a little in surrounding states.
Tom Harkin: Sen, Ranking: 6, Being a veterin Senator from a swing state makes him worth listing.
Bruce Braley: Rep IA-1, Ranking: 3, No way Obama picks a Freshman Congressman.
David Loebsack: Rep IA-2, Ranking: 3, Another Freshman.
Leonard Boswell: Rep IA-3, Ranking: 4, Age (74) pushes the limit.

Iowa Republicans
Jim Nussle, Former Rep, Ranking: 6, Served 16 years in Congress, but is only 47. Loss his bid for governor two years ago, by a fairly large margin, but may still help in Iowa. Now serves as the Director of the Office of Management and Budget.
Terry Branstad: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, As a four term governor of Iowa one would think he would give McCain a boost in the state.
Chuck Grassley: Sen, Ranking: 3, His age (74) takes him out of the running.
Jim Leach: Former Rep, Ranking: 4, Served 30 years in Congress, but anti-war stance could conflict with McCain.
Tom Latham: Rep IA-4, Ranking: 5, Part of the 1994 Republican Revolution. A decent choice if McCain is intent on holding Iowa.
Steve King: Rep IA-5, Ranking: 5, Strong conservative from a swing state, but has only served since 2003.

Thursday, July 3, 2008

VP Ranking Illinois

-No democrats (Obama from Illinois)

Illinois Republicans
Jim Edgar: Former Gov, Ranking: 3, The MSI scandal likely takes him out of the running.
Peter Fitzgerald: Former Sen, Ranking:4, Has poor relationship with GOP establishment.
Peter Roskam: Rep IL-6, Ranking: 4, May be too young even to pair with McCain.
Mark Kirk: Rep IL-10, Ranking: 6, An independent minded Republican who has a good deal of executive and foreign policy experience under Bush Sr and Clinton administrations.
Jerry Weller: Rep IL-11, Ranking: 1, Ties to Duke kills his chances to be on the ticket.
Judy Biggert: Rep IL-13, Ranking: 3, Hard to See the Republicans putting two people in their 70s on the ticket.
Dennis Hasert: Former Speaker of the House, Ranking: 3, I don't think McCain wants to tie himself to the old Congress this closely.
Tim Johnson: Rep IL-15, Ranking: 4, Can't see how he helps McCain.
Donald Manzullo: Rep IL-16, Ranling: 4, Not a guy who will get out the vote.
Ray LaHood: Rep IL-18: Ranking:5, Could serve as a tie to 1994, and is leaving Congress anyways.
John Shimkus: Rep IL-19, Ranking: 5, Fairly high profile Congressman, but is not without controversy.

Wednesday, July 2, 2008

VP Rankings Idaho

Idaho Democrats
Larry LaRocco: Former Rep, Ranking: 2, I needed to find a Democrat.

Idaho Republicans
Jim Risch: Former Gov, Ranking 3, Republicans could give up a senate seat if chosen.
Butch Otter: Gov and former Rep, Ranking: 6, A solid and safe pick that helps McCain with conservatives.
Dirk Kempthorne: Secretary of the Interior and Former Gov, Ranking: 6, Solid conservative with executive experience.
Larry Craig: Sen, Ranking: 1, We all know why this is a bad pick.
Mike Crapo, Sen, Ranking: 5, Conservative, but nothing else that makes him an intriguing pick.
Bill Sali: Rep ID-1, Ranking: 2, He's not even that popular in Idaho.
Mike Simpson: Rep ID-2, Ranking: 4, A minor Congressman from a minor state.

MLB Mid Season Odds

AL East:
1. New York Yankees: E-45%, WC-25%
2. Boston Red Sox: E-35%, WC- 50%
3. Tampa Bay Rays: E-20%, WC-25%
4. Toronto Blue Jays: E-0%, WC-0%
5. Baltimore Orioles: E-0%, WC-0%

AL Central:
1. Detroit Tigers: E-50%, WC-0%
2. Chicago White Sox: E-30%, WC-0%
3. Minnesota Twins: E-15%, WC-0%
4. Cleveland Indians: E-5%, WC-0%
5. Kansas City: E-0%, WC-0%

AL West:
1. LA Angles: W-75%, WC-0%
2. Texas Rangers: W-15%, WC-0%
3. Oakland A's: W-10%, WC-0%
3. Seattle Mariners: W-0%, WC-0%

NL E;
1.Philedelphia Phillies: E-40%, WC-5%
2. New York Mets: E-30%, WC-10%
3. Atlanta Braves: E-25%, WC-5%
4. Florida Marlins: E-5%, WC-0%
5. Washington Nats: E-0%, WC-0%

NL Central:
1. Chicago Cubs: C-70%, WC-15%
2. Milwaukee Brewers: C-20%,WC-35%
3. St. Louis Cardinals: C-10%, WC-30%
4. Cinncinati Reds: C-0%, WC-0%
5. Houston Astros: C-0%, WC-0%
6. Pittsburgh: C-0%, WC-0%

NL West:
1. LA Dodgers: W-50%, WC-0%
2. Arizona Diamondbacks: W-40%, WC-0%
3. Colorado Rockies: W-5%, WC-0%
4. San Francisco Giants: W-5%, WC-0%
5. San Diego Padres: W-0%, WC-0%

Playoffs:
LA Angels over Boston in 5
Detroit over NY Yankees in 4
Milwaukee over Philly in 4
Chicago Cubs over LA Dodgers in 3

LA Angels over Detroit in 5
Chicago Cubs over Milwaukee in 6

LA Angels over Chicago Cubs in 7

VP Rankings Hawaii

Hawaii Democrats:
Daniel Inouye: Sen: Ranking: 1, Too old
Ben Cayetano: Former Gov, Ranking: 4, O bama can win Hawaii on his own.
Daniel Akaka: Sen, Eanking: 1, Too old
Neil Abercrombie: Rep HI-1, Ranking 4, Knew Obama's parents, but noyhing else would put him on the ticket.
Mazie Hirono: Rep HI-2, Ranking: 2, First termer.

Hawaii Republicans:
Linda Lingle: Gov, Ranking: 7, Would be a huge help with woman and possibly the electorate as a whole. Only down side is that she probably can't bring in Hawaii.

VP Rankings Georgia

Georgia Democrats
Roy Barnes: Former Gov, Ranking: 5, If Obama thinks he really has a chance at Georgia, Barnes may not be that bad.
Max Cleland: Former Sen, Ranking: 6, Could help Obama some in security issues and in the south, but loss reelection in the senate.
Sam Nunn: Former Sen: Ranking: 8, Most of Nunn's straights are in areas where Obama is weak.
Stanford Bishop: Rep GA-2, Ranking:4, Solid credentials, but Obama is unlikely to put a second African American on the ticket.
Hank Johnson: Rep GA-4, Ranking: 3, Obama can't have another First termer on the ticket.
John Lewis: Rep GA-5, Ranking: 5, Would be a good tie to the 60s civil rights movement.
Jim Marshall: Rep GA-8, Ranking: 5, Could appeal to the south and social conservatives.
John Barrow: Rep GA-12, Ranking: 4, Too unknown to help Obama.
David Scott: Rep GA-13: Ranking: 3, Obama is unlikely to chose another African American.

Georgia Republicans
Sonny Perdue: Gov, Ranking: 6, A solid pick as a Southern Governor, but may not be as good as Christ or Stanford.
Saxby Chambliss: Sen, Ranking: 6, Only a one term Senator, but is a fairly powerful first termer.
Johnny Issakson: Sen, Ranking: 4, Unless McCain sees something I don't it won't be Issakson.
Jack Kingston: Rep GA-1, Ranking: 5, First elected in 1992, strongly conservative record down the line.
Lynn Westmoreland: Rep GA-3, Ranking: 2, His appearance on Colbert is one of the great moments in television history.
Tom Price: Rep GA-6, Ranking: 5, A good pick if McCain is looking for a faceless southerner.
John Linder: Rep GA-7, Ranking: 6, Vet Congressman who has strong anti-tax record.
Nathan Deal: Rep GA-9, Ranking: 4, A former moderate Democrat, now a conservative Republican.
Paul Broun: Rep GA-10, Ranking:3, Won his seat in a special election in 2007.
Phil Gingrey: Rep GA-11, Ranking: 5, Could fill the role of Southerner on the GOP ticket.

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

VP Rankings Florida

Florida Democrats
Bill Nelson: Sen, Ranking 9, Just about the best pick Obama can make. Nelson probably wins Florida which almost clinches Obama's election, and has good appeal to the population at large as a moderate, and former astronaut.
Bob Graham, Former Sen and Gov, Ranking: 5, Has a number of significant problems, but would help Obama in Florida.
Allen Boyd, Rep FL-2, Ranking: 5, A Blue-Dog Democrat that could help Obama in security issues.
Corrine Brown: Rep FL-3, Ranking: 2, Ethical issues could bog down campaign,
Kathy Castor: Rep FL-11, Ranking: 3, Obama does not need a one term Congresswoman on the ticket.
Tim Mahoney: Rep Fl-16, Ranking: 3, see Castor.
Kendrick Meek: Rep FL-17, Ranking: 4, Would have been a good pick for Clinton.
Robert Wexler: Rep FL-19, Ranking: 4, Obama does not need a fire breathing liberal.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz: Rep FL-20, Ranking: 5, Appeals to several important groups: Woman, Jews, and Floridians.
Ron Klein: Rep Fl-22, Ranking: 3, One termer.
Alcee Hastings: Rep Fl-23, Ranking: 1, Old (71) and Corrupt.

Florida Republicans
Charlie Crist: Gov, Ranking: 7, Not as strong of a pick as many think, but securing Florida justifies McCain picking him.
Jeb Bush: Former Gov, Ranking: 3, McCain can't possibly put another bush on the ticket.
Katherine Harris: Former Rep, Ranking: 1, This would be an awesome pick.
Jeff Miller: Rep FL-1, Ranking: 4, I wonder if his own constituents know who he is.
Joe Scarborough, Former Rep, Ranking 6, High profile and good cred with pro-life crowd.
Ander Crenshaw: Rep FL-4, Ranking: 4, Just another faceless Congressman.
Ginny Brown-Waite: Rep FL-5, Ranking: 4, Ties to Foley probably takes her out of the running.
Cliff Stearns: Rep FL-6, Ranking: 5, Not well known, but has strong anti-tax record.
John Mica: Rep: FL-7. Ranking: 4, Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Ric Keller: Rep FL-8, Ranking: 5, Not a very interesting pick but Keller is only 43.
Gus Bilirakis, Rep Fl-9, Ranking, 4, I don't know why but I'm finding all of the Florida Reps dull.
Bill Young: Rep FL-10, Ranking: 3, Too old (77)
Vern Buchanan: Rep Fl-13, Ranking: 5, In his first term, but has long business career.
Connie Mack: Rep Fl-14, Ranking: 5, Biggest strength is as a counterpoint to McCain's age.
Dave Weldon: Rep FL-15, Ranking: 5, Was part of the 1994 revolution and has just sat there ever since.
Tom Feeney: Rep FL-24, Ranking: 3, Heavily conservative and a Floridian, but has a bunch of ethical issues.
Mario Diaz-Balart: Rep Fl-25, Ranking: 6, Unlike the other Cuban Congressman, Diaz-Balart was born in the USA.

VP Rankings Delaware

Delaware Democrats
Ruth Minner: Gov, Ranking: 5, A solid pick to help secure Clinton supporters, but is a bit old (73).
Joe Biden: Sen, Ranking: 2, I know Biden is a popular pick, but PLEASE DONT PICK HIM! He will flat out lose the election.
Thomas Carper: Sen, Ranking:6, Has held just about every job in Delaware politics, and no real weakness. A good noncontroversial choice.

Delaware Republicans
Michael Castle: Rep and Former Gov, Ranking 5, A nice safe pick, but there may be concern about age.