May Adjusted MLB Odds

AL East

1. Boston East-45% WC-15%
2. New York East-30% WC-30%
3. Tampa Bay East-25% WC-15%
4. Toronto East-0% WC-10%
5. Baltimore East-0%

Baltimore has finnaly fallen to last in the division, and I expect them to stay there for the remainder of the season. After a poor April Toronto has been one of the hottest teams in baseball, and have played themselves back into contention, but given the division they are long shots. Tampa Bay continues to show that they are legit, and should easily grab their first winning season. New York as always has had problems early on, but they are not far enough back to not give them the edge for at least the wild card. Even though Boston enters June in second place expect them to win the division.

AL Central

1. Chicago Central-50% WC-10%
2. Cleveland Central-35% WC-10%
3. Detroit Central-10% WC-0%
4. Minnesota Central-5% WC-0%
5. Kansas City Central-0%

Like Baltimore Kansas City is likely in last to stay. Minnesota continues to hang around and I will finaly give them a chance, but not much of one. They arnt any good I say! It is officialy time to panic in Detroit, while no one in the division has really steped up yet, Detroit has to start playing some time. Cleveland can't hit. This season has been a perfect storm so far for Chicago. They are a decent, but not great team that needed the probably more talented Detroit and Cleveland to falter. So far so good, but can Detroit and Cleveland stay down all season?

Al West

1. Los Angeles West-90% WC-0%
2. Texas West-5% WC-0%
3. Oakland West-5% WC-0%
4. Seattle West-0% WC-0%

Why Mariners? Why? Oakland has exposed itself for what it is, and average to below average team. Texas has been really impressive this month, they probably won't make the playoffs, but at least they can beat Oakland. LA is as close to a lock as there is in baseball right now.

NL East

1.Philly East-35% WC-10%
2. Atlanta East-30% WC-15%
3. New York East-20% WC-15%
4. Florida East-15% WC-5%
5. Washington East-0% WC-0%

Washington once again is bad, but not in the very celler of baseball. Florida continues strong, but I can't quite buy them yet. New York continues to play around .500, but plenty of time remains. Atlanta at times seems unstoppable, but at others lackluster. Philly should at least repeate last year.

NL Central

1. Chicago Central-65% WC-5%
2. St. Louis Central-30% WC-15%
3. Milwaukee Central-5% WC-10%
4. Houston Central-0% WC-10%
5. Cincinnati Central-0%
6. Pittsburgh Central-0%

Pittsburgh has at least met expectations this year. Cincy has finnaly started to play like the team they can be. Houston had an amazing month in which they went from also-rans to legit contenders. Milwaukee is the Tigers of the NL. St. Louis continues to show that the reports of their death over the offseason was greatly exaggerated. Chicago continues to finnaly play up to their potential.

NL West

1. Arizona West-65% WC-10%
2. Los Angeles West-35% WC-5%
3. San Diego West-0% WC-0%
4. San Francisco West-0% WC-0%
5. Colorado West-0% WC-0%

What the fuck is Colorado doing? Three years from now San Francisco will probably be the favorite. Don't let the projected 3rd place fool you San Diego still hasnt turned it around. LA has done a good job to get into strikeing distence of Arizona. Arizona is no longer invincible, but is still the favortie.

Division Series
Boston over Chicago in 3
LA over New York in 5
Atlanta over Chicago in 5
Philly over Arizona in 4

Championship Series
Boston over LA in 4
Philly over Atlanta in 7

World Series
Philly over Boston in 6

AL MVP:Josh Hamilton
AL CY Young: Cliff Lee
AL Rookie of the Year: Greg Smith

NL MVP: Lance Berkman
NL Cy Young: Brandon Webb
NL Rookie of the Year: Jair Jurrjens

Projected House makeup 1

Alabama (D-2 R-5)
-Democrats Gain AL-2
-Republicans Gain AL-5

Alaska (R-1)

Arizona (D-5, R-3)
-Democrats Gain AZ-1

Arkansas (D-3, R-1)

California (D-34, R-19)

Colorado (D-4, R-3)

Conneticut (D-5)
-Democrats Gain CT-4

Delaware (R-1)

Florida (D-9, R-16)

Georgia (D-6, R-7)

Hawaii (D-2)

Idaho (R-2)

Illinois (D-13, R-6)
-Democrats Gain IL-10
-Democrats Gain IL-11

Indiana (D-5, R-4)

Iowa (D-3, R-2)

Kansas (D-2, R-2)

Kentucky (D-2, R-4)

Louisiana (D-3, R-4)

Maine (D-2)

Maryland (D-6, R-2)

Massachussets (D-10)

Michigan (D-6, R-9)

Minnesota (D-6, R-2)
-Democrats gain MN-3

Mississippi (D-3, R-1)

Missouri (D-4, R-5)

Montana (R-1)

Nebraska (R-3)

Nevada (D-1, R-2)

New Hampshire (D-2)

New Jersey (D-9, R-4)
-Democrats gain NJ-3
-Democrats gain NJ-7

New Mexico (D-2, R-1)
-Democrats gain NM-1

New York (D-25, R-4)
-Democrats gain NY-25
-Democrats gain NY-26

North Carolina (D-7, R-6)

North Dakota (D-1)

Ohio (D-8, R-10)
-Democrats gain OH-15

Oklahoma (D-1, R-4)

Oregon (D-4, R-1)

Pennsylvania (D-11, R-8)

Rhode Island (D-2)

South Carolina (D-2, R-4)

South Dakota (D-1)

Tennessee (D-5, R-4)

Texas (D-12, R-20)
-Republicans gain TX-22

Utah (D-1, R-2)

Vermont (D-1)

Virginia (D-4, R-7)
-Democrats gain VR-11

Washington (D-6, R-3)

West Virginia (D-2, R-1)

Wisconsin (D-5, R-3)

Wyoming (R-1)

2008 House Makeup: D-247 R-188
- Net Democratic gain of 11 seats

Puerto Rico Predictions

Hillary Clinton 54%
Barack Obama 44%
Other 2%

Senate/Gov projections

This is the first addition of a new segment where I will rank the various Senate and Governors races in likelyhood of take over.

Dem Take over:

1.Virginia (Warner)
2.New Mexico (Udall)
3. New Hampshire (Shaheen)
4. Colorado (Udall)

Possible Dem Take over/lean GOP

5. Alaska (Begich)
6. North Carolina (Hagen)

Possible in Dem landslide/Probably Safe GOP

7. Oregon (Merkley)
8.Mississippi B (Musgrove)
9. Texas (Noriega)
10. Minnesota (Franken)
11. Kansas (Slattery)
12. Idaho (LaRocco)

Safe GOP

13. Kentucky (Lunsford)
14. Maine (Allen)
15. Nebraska (Kleeb)
16. Wyoming B (Goodenough)
17. Oklahoma (Rice)
18. Alabama (Figures)
19. Tennessee (TBD)
20. Georgia (TBD)
21. Mississippi A (Fleming)
22. South Carolina (Cone)
23. Wyoming A (Rothfuss)

Possible GOP Takeover/lean Dem

1. Louisiana (Kennedy)

Safe Dem

2. South Dakota (Dyksta)
3. New Jersey (Pennacchio)
4. Montana (TBD)
5. Massachusetts (Ogonowski)
6. Iowa (Eichhorne)
7. Michigan (TBD)
8. Illinois (Sauerburgh)
9. West Virginia (Wolfe)
10. Delaware (O'Donnell)
11. Arkansas (none)
12. Rhode Island (none)

Governors:
Dem Take over:

1. Missouri (Nixon)

Possible Dem Takeover/lean GOP

2. Indiana (Thompson)

Safe GOP:

3. Vermont (Symington)
4. North Dakota (Mathern)
5. Utah (Springmeyer)

Possible GOP Takeover/Lean Dem

1. Washington (Rossi)
2. North Carolina (McCroy)

Safe Dem:

3. Delaware (TBD)
4. Montana (Brown)
5. New Hampshire (Kenney)
6. West Virginia (Weeks)

Kentucky/Oregon Predictions

Kentucky:
Clinton: 62%
Obama: 35%
Other:3%

Oregon:
Obama: 57%
Clinton: 42%
Other: 1%

West Virginia Predictions

I will go out on a limb and say:

Hillary Clinton: 60%
Barack Obama: 40%

Indiana/North Carolina Predictions

Indiana

Clinton 51%
Obama 49%


North Carolina

Obama 54%
Clinton 46%