Hillary Clinton: A: With nearly every poll showing her behind (some times largely) Obama, Clinton was able to narrowly win the popular vote. Although it appears that both Clinton and Obama will win nine delegates from New Hampshire, the real victory for Clinton is stopping the non-stop positive press Obama has received from the media.
John McCain: A: Polls before the primary were showing a dead heat between McCain and Romney, with most showing a slight McCain lead. McCain in reality pulled of a solid win, by beating Romney by five points, and solidifies McCain's position as a major threat for the nomination.
Mike Huckabee: B: Didn't come close to finishing in the top two, but managed a respectable third place in a state that on paper didn't look good for Huckabee.
Rudy Giuliani: B-: Avoided the Iowa embarrassment of losing to Paul.
John Edwards: C: Didn't make a big move to revive his candidacy, but didn't humiliate himself either.
Dennis Kucinich: C: Did about what most expected him to do.
Barack Obama: C-: Loses momentum to Clinton in popular vote loss. Technically tied Clinton in delegates. Obama's road to the White house just got much much harder than it was a few days ago.
Duncan Hunter: C-: Made no move what so ever.
Mike Gravel: D+: Did not even compete with Kucinich.
Ron Paul: D: Didn't even meet the expectations many SANE prognosticators had for him.
Mitt Romney: D-: Not quite dead, but failed to win either Iowa or New Hampshire, which were key to Romney's strategy. A poor showing in Michigan may prompt Romney to be the first Republican after the primaries and caucuses started. Although Romney has enough money to stay in the race, if he loses Michigan, there is really no point for him to.
Fred Thompson: NG: Skipped New Hampshire.
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
Sunday, January 6, 2008
New Hampshire Election Predicions
Democrats:
1. Barack Obama 38%
2. Hillary Clinton 35%
3. John Edwrds 17%
4. Bill Richardson 5%
5. Dennis Kucinich 4%
6. Mike Gravel 1%
Repubicans:
1. John McCain 35%
2. Mitt Romney 30%
3. Mike Huckabee 15%
4. Ron Paul 12
5. Rudy Giuliani 5%
6. Fred Thompson 3%
7. Others <1%
1. Barack Obama 38%
2. Hillary Clinton 35%
3. John Edwrds 17%
4. Bill Richardson 5%
5. Dennis Kucinich 4%
6. Mike Gravel 1%
Repubicans:
1. John McCain 35%
2. Mitt Romney 30%
3. Mike Huckabee 15%
4. Ron Paul 12
5. Rudy Giuliani 5%
6. Fred Thompson 3%
7. Others <1%
Saturday, January 5, 2008
Friday, January 4, 2008
Wyoming!
I really have no idea whatwill happen in the caucuses, but what the hell?
1. Mitt Romney
2. Fred Thompson
3. John McCain
4. Ron Paul
5. Mike Huckabee
6. Duncan Hunter
7. Rudy Giuliani
8. Alan Keyes
1. Mitt Romney
2. Fred Thompson
3. John McCain
4. Ron Paul
5. Mike Huckabee
6. Duncan Hunter
7. Rudy Giuliani
8. Alan Keyes
Thursday, January 3, 2008
Iowa Report card
Mike Huckabee: A+: Won Iowa by even more than the pundits/polls predicted. Has now officially established himself as a major player for the white house.
Barack Obama: A: Won at the same time as Clinton finished 3rd. Obama with a few more wins could seal the nomination.
Fred Thompson: B: Rumored to need a third place finish to stay in and he got it, but it was an unimpressive 3rd.
John McCain: B-: Neither passed or fell short of expectations.
Ron Paul: B-: Made double digits, but far from a "revolution."
Rudy Giuliani: C-: Did not compete, but finishing well behind Paul is still a black eye.
Mitt Romney: D+: Not Dead, but there is nothing positive for Mitt from Iowa.
John Edwards: D: He needed Iowa. Now he should quit the race.
Hillary Clinton: D-: Finished 3rd, loses all momentum, may quickly lose front runner status and untimely the nomination.
Barack Obama: A: Won at the same time as Clinton finished 3rd. Obama with a few more wins could seal the nomination.
Fred Thompson: B: Rumored to need a third place finish to stay in and he got it, but it was an unimpressive 3rd.
John McCain: B-: Neither passed or fell short of expectations.
Ron Paul: B-: Made double digits, but far from a "revolution."
Rudy Giuliani: C-: Did not compete, but finishing well behind Paul is still a black eye.
Mitt Romney: D+: Not Dead, but there is nothing positive for Mitt from Iowa.
John Edwards: D: He needed Iowa. Now he should quit the race.
Hillary Clinton: D-: Finished 3rd, loses all momentum, may quickly lose front runner status and untimely the nomination.
Tuesday, January 1, 2008
Iowa Caucuses Predictions
1. John Edwards: 30%: Edward's strong base of support in Iowa puts him on top in this toss-up between him, Obama and Clinton. A third place finish will end it for Edwards, while a second place finish may allow him to at least remain campaigning until February 5th.
2. Hillary Clinton: 29%: As the establishment candidate with a great organization Clinton has the edge over Obama, but it may not be enough to beat out Iowa's adopted son Edwards. If Clinton does manage to win Iowa, she will have the nomination wrapped up, and will be strongly favored to win so long as Obama does not win Iowa.
3. Barrack Obama: 24%: While Obama is the cool candidate history tells us that candidates who's support comes in large part from young/first time voters typically do not do well. Iowa will probably be the end of Obama mania, unless he pulls the upset, in which case it will be an all out slugfest between Obama and Clinton.
4. Joe Biden: 7%: In spite of Biden's qualifications he has failed to gain much traction probably due to his habit of uttering questionable racial remarks from time to time.
5. Bill Richardson: 5%: See Biden.
5. Chris Dodd: 4%: Dodd just seems to be an average senator. Utterly uninteresting
6. Dennis Kucinich: 1%: Will get the votes of Iowa's burgeoning hippy population.
Republicans:
1.Mike Huckabee: 28%: A logical candidate for Iowa the only question is if his lack of money/organization and fast rise will hold up. If he wins he becomes the front runner for the nomination. If not he's done.
2. Mitt Romney: 26%: The front runner for most of the past year, and has superior money and organization. Lack of orthodoxy in the past has caused Huckabee's rise. Probably has about a 50-50 chance of winning Iowa. Is not necessarily dead with an Iowa loss, but would be in serious trouble.
3. John McCain: 18%: As long as he finishes third, Iowa will be a victory for him.
4. Fred Thompson: 10%: Flat out should not be running. Probably needs to have a much better than expected finish (maybe 20%) to get viable, and there is no reason to expect that.
5. Ron Paul: 8%: Does 8% really consist of a revolution?
6. Rudy Giuliani: 7%: I wonder if people in Iowa even know if he is an option.
7. Duncan Hunter: 2%: Maybe he can at least beat Keyes.
8. Alan Keyes: 1%: His heart just does not seem in it this time around.
2. Hillary Clinton: 29%: As the establishment candidate with a great organization Clinton has the edge over Obama, but it may not be enough to beat out Iowa's adopted son Edwards. If Clinton does manage to win Iowa, she will have the nomination wrapped up, and will be strongly favored to win so long as Obama does not win Iowa.
3. Barrack Obama: 24%: While Obama is the cool candidate history tells us that candidates who's support comes in large part from young/first time voters typically do not do well. Iowa will probably be the end of Obama mania, unless he pulls the upset, in which case it will be an all out slugfest between Obama and Clinton.
4. Joe Biden: 7%: In spite of Biden's qualifications he has failed to gain much traction probably due to his habit of uttering questionable racial remarks from time to time.
5. Bill Richardson: 5%: See Biden.
5. Chris Dodd: 4%: Dodd just seems to be an average senator. Utterly uninteresting
6. Dennis Kucinich: 1%: Will get the votes of Iowa's burgeoning hippy population.
Republicans:
1.Mike Huckabee: 28%: A logical candidate for Iowa the only question is if his lack of money/organization and fast rise will hold up. If he wins he becomes the front runner for the nomination. If not he's done.
2. Mitt Romney: 26%: The front runner for most of the past year, and has superior money and organization. Lack of orthodoxy in the past has caused Huckabee's rise. Probably has about a 50-50 chance of winning Iowa. Is not necessarily dead with an Iowa loss, but would be in serious trouble.
3. John McCain: 18%: As long as he finishes third, Iowa will be a victory for him.
4. Fred Thompson: 10%: Flat out should not be running. Probably needs to have a much better than expected finish (maybe 20%) to get viable, and there is no reason to expect that.
5. Ron Paul: 8%: Does 8% really consist of a revolution?
6. Rudy Giuliani: 7%: I wonder if people in Iowa even know if he is an option.
7. Duncan Hunter: 2%: Maybe he can at least beat Keyes.
8. Alan Keyes: 1%: His heart just does not seem in it this time around.
Sunday, December 16, 2007
Bowls
POINSETTIA BOWL: Navy over Utah
NEW ORLEANS BOWL: Memphis over Florida Atlantic
PAPAJOHNS.COM BOWL: Cincinnati over S. Miss
NEW MEXICO BOWL: Nevada over New Mexico
LAS VEGAS BOWL: UCLA over BYU
HAWAII BOWL: Boise St. over ECU
MOTOR CITY BOWL: Purdue over C. Mich
HOLIDAY BOWL: Arizona St. over Texas
CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL: Michigan St. over Boston College
TEXAS BOWL: Houston over TCU
EMERALD BOWL: Oregon St. over Maryland
MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL: UCONN over Wake Forest
LIBERTY BOWL: Mississippi St. over UCF
ALAMO BOW: Penn St. over Texas A&M
INDEPENDENCE BOWL: Colorado over Alabama
ARMED FORCES BOWL: Cal over Air Force
HUMANITARIAN BOWL: Fresno St. over Georgia Tech
SUN BOWL: Oregon over USF
MUSIC CITY BOWL: Kentucky over Florida St.
INSIGHT BOWL: Indiana over Oklahoma St.
CHICK-FIL-A BOWL: Clemson over Auburn
OUTBACK BOWL: Wisconsin over Tennessee
COTTON BOWL: Missouri over Arkansas
CAPITAL ONE BOWL: Michigan over Florida
GATOR BOWL: Texas Tech over Virginia
ROSE BOWL: USC over Illinois
SUGAR BOWL: Hawaii over Georgia
FIESTA BOWL: West Virginia over Oklahoma
ORANGE BOWL: Kansas over Virginia Tech
INTERNATIONAL BOWL: Rutgers over Ball St.
GMAC BOWL: Bowling Green over Tulsa
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP: Ohio St. over LSU
NEW ORLEANS BOWL: Memphis over Florida Atlantic
PAPAJOHNS.COM BOWL: Cincinnati over S. Miss
NEW MEXICO BOWL: Nevada over New Mexico
LAS VEGAS BOWL: UCLA over BYU
HAWAII BOWL: Boise St. over ECU
MOTOR CITY BOWL: Purdue over C. Mich
HOLIDAY BOWL: Arizona St. over Texas
CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL: Michigan St. over Boston College
TEXAS BOWL: Houston over TCU
EMERALD BOWL: Oregon St. over Maryland
MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL: UCONN over Wake Forest
LIBERTY BOWL: Mississippi St. over UCF
ALAMO BOW: Penn St. over Texas A&M
INDEPENDENCE BOWL: Colorado over Alabama
ARMED FORCES BOWL: Cal over Air Force
HUMANITARIAN BOWL: Fresno St. over Georgia Tech
SUN BOWL: Oregon over USF
MUSIC CITY BOWL: Kentucky over Florida St.
INSIGHT BOWL: Indiana over Oklahoma St.
CHICK-FIL-A BOWL: Clemson over Auburn
OUTBACK BOWL: Wisconsin over Tennessee
COTTON BOWL: Missouri over Arkansas
CAPITAL ONE BOWL: Michigan over Florida
GATOR BOWL: Texas Tech over Virginia
ROSE BOWL: USC over Illinois
SUGAR BOWL: Hawaii over Georgia
FIESTA BOWL: West Virginia over Oklahoma
ORANGE BOWL: Kansas over Virginia Tech
INTERNATIONAL BOWL: Rutgers over Ball St.
GMAC BOWL: Bowling Green over Tulsa
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP: Ohio St. over LSU
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